Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-2
Zimbru Chişinău vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 2
ZIM
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ZIM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CSK
1 - 1
ZIM
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SHK
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 2
WOL
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ZIM
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ČUK
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |