Zimbabwe vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MWI
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ZIM
4 - 0
SWZ
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ZIM
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
GUI
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ZIM
4 - 0
SWZ
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ZIM
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
SWZ
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |