Zimbabwe vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MLI
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 1
ZIM
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZIM
0 - 1
NIG
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZAM
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
4 - 0
ZAM
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ETH
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |