African Nations Championship 1/16
Global 1-1
Zimbabwe vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZIM
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 3
ZIM
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
3 - 4
ZIM
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ZIM
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
ZIM
6 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZIM
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
NAM
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
SWZ
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 0
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |