Zhlobin vs Dnepr Rogachev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
4.6%
5-3
1.7%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.9%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1496%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
7º
6º
14
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhlobin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
REC
2 - 0
ZHL
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MNP
3 - 0
ZHL
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ZHL
2 - 0
FKS
21%
17%
62%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +3 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
8 - 0
ZHL
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ZHL
1 - 3
FKV
10%
14%
77%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Dnepr Rogachev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
ROG
61%
18%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ROG
5 - 2
FKS
23%
18%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
4 - 0
ROG
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ROG
2 - 1
FKV
6%
10%
83%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | +4 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IPU
3 - 1
ROG
87%
9%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |