Zeta vs Nikšić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
9º
0
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
80.5% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 1
ZET
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 0
BER
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FKM
0 - 4
ZET
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
2 - 1
ZET
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 2
KOM
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IGA
3 - 1
OFK
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
OFK
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
FKM
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 3
KOM
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |