Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-4
Zestafoni vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
6 - 0
LIS
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 5
ZES
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ZES
1 - 3
LOK
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TSK
1 - 0
ZES
23%
29%
48%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZES
6 - 0
GAG
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 2
ELF
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
MIK
1 - 1
HEL
25%
23%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
DJU
2 - 1
HEL
26%
25%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
MIK
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SYR
1 - 3
HEL
17%
19%
64%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |