Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
Zestafoni vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZES
0 - 0
SIO
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 3
ZES
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
GUR
0 - 5
ZES
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ZES
3 - 2
DTB
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
ZES
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
TNV
3 - 0
ZMO
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
TNV
5 - 0
HIB
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 4
TNV
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 2
SBR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
DAC
1 - 0
TNV
24%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |