Zestafoni vs Bakhmaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
ZES
51%
21%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ZES
0 - 2
LTB
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
GUR
4 - 1
ZES
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ZES
1 - 1
GOR
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SAT
4 - 0
ZES
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BAK
3 - 2
MAT
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
BAK
2 - 0
BOR
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LTB
2 - 1
BAK
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 0
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
BAK
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |