Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
3º
2º
29
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 1
LOK
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 1
ZEN
10%
19%
71%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
AKT
0 - 5
ZEN
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
4 - 1
VOJ
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
GAZ
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 1
AKT
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
SPA
15%
22%
64%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
CSK
11%
23%
66%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 1
DMK
39%
31%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
KRS
3 - 3
DMK
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |