Zenit Reservas vs Lokomotiv Moskva Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
5º
4º
18
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KRA
3 - 1
ZEN
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CHE
71%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
0 - 3
ZEN
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ZEN
1 - 2
UMO
90%
7%
3%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FKS
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 0
URA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 1
LOK
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
LOK
4 - 0
FKS
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
LOK
5 - 1
FKK
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 4
LOK
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |