Zenit II vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
10º
6º
58
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 2
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZEN
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TVE
2 - 3
ZEN
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 0
KHI
58%
19%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ZEN
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RKZ
0 - 5
SAT
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
1 - 2
ARS
11%
18%
71%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
0 - 0
FKK
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
SAT
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAT
2 - 3
FBK
46%
21%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |