Zenit II vs Cherepovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
3º
1º
9
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 66 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 27 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
68% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SAT
1 - 3
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
ZEN
4 - 3
LUK
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ZEN
4 - 0
FKK
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ZEN
2 - 0
DVO
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FKI
1 - 3
ZEN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FYK
3 - 2
FKC
24%
21%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKC
1 - 0
FBK
35%
25%
39%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 0
FKC
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
FKC
0 - 1
TVE
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 2
FKC
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |