Zenit Penza vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
ZEN
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 3
ZVE
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 0
MET
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
POD
2 - 1
ZEN
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 0
LOK
36%
28%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ORE
2 - 3
POD
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 0
ORE
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ORE
3 - 0
AVA
17%
23%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +6 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SOK
1 - 0
ORE
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 2
FAK
14%
23%
63%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |