Zemun vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
FKS
2 - 2
ZEM
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZEM
2 - 1
VOZ
33%
30%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ZEM
0 - 2
PAR
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RAD
2 - 0
ZEM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ZEM
1 - 2
CRV
6%
17%
77%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
4 - 1
MLA
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
NAP
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 4
NAP
17%
22%
61%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 1
RAD
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 0
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |