Zemun vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RNS
3 - 3
ZEM
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ZEM
0 - 0
DVR
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ZEM
0 - 1
BSK
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SIN
0 - 0
ZEM
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZEM
2 - 1
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 0
KOL
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BAK
4 - 3
NAP
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 1
RAD
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
INI
0 - 1
NAP
40%
27%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 1
FKD
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |