Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 1-3
Željeznicar vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
ZEL
2 - 0
BRO
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
ZEL
0 - 0
BRO
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
BRO
1 - 3
ZEL
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
KIL
1 - 0
ZEL
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
ZEL
1 - 1
KIL
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
WIS
2 - 2
WLO
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
DYS
0 - 3
WIS
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
WIS
4 - 0
RUC
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2000 |
AMI
3 - 0
WIS
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2000 |
WIS
2 - 2
AMI
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |