Željeznicar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
8º
3º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BBL
2 - 1
ZEL
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
4 - 2
SLO
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZEL
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SIR
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
IGM
2 - 0
SAR
10%
22%
68%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 5
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
POS
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 4
SAR
6%
16%
78%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |