Željeznicar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZEL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ZEL
3 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ORA
2 - 1
ZEL
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ZEL
1 - 0
ZRI
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZEL
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
LAK
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 0
VEL
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 0
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
6 - 1
TRA
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |