Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-5
Željeznicar vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GOS
0 - 1
ZEL
20%
28%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ZEL
3 - 1
TRA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 2
ZEL
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 3
ZEL
13%
23%
65%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZEL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
APO
2 - 0
STU
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
STU
1 - 0
APO
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
SLI
4 - 0
APO
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
CRV
1 - 0
APO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
LAS
2 - 1
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |