Zavrč vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zavrč
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ZAV
1 - 2
LJU
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 0
ZAV
59%
20%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZAV
1 - 1
VID
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAV
25%
22%
54%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ZAV
1 - 1
KOR
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 0
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
ALU
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 1
ALU
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 2
ROG
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALU
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |