ES Zarzis vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
11º
3º
26
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
ZAR
18%
28%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ZAR
2 - 3
STA
73%
19%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ZAR
2 - 0
KAL
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
MOK
0 - 2
ZAR
26%
29%
45%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SPO
66%
23%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
JSO
27%
28%
46%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
FCH
23%
22%
54%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
MED
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRO
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
EMM
2 - 0
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |