ES Zarzis vs EM Mahdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
11º
3º
28
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
ZAR
37%
32%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
EGS
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JSO
1 - 0
ZAR
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CSH
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZAR
14%
29%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOK
2 - 1
EMM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
EMM
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EMM
0 - 2
KAL
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |