ES Zarzis vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
11º
3º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JSO
1 - 0
ZAR
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CSH
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZAR
14%
29%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
4 - 0
STA
69%
22%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 0
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
JSO
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
EGS
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EGS
0 - 0
CSH
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
EGS
4 - 4
JSK
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |