Zarya Leninsk vs Neftekhimik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarya Leninsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1996 |
OKN
2 - 1
ZAL
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
VLA
1 - 1
ZAL
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ZAL
3 - 2
ZIR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1996 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FCC
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
YEN
2 - 1
ZAL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Neftekhimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1996 |
NEF
1 - 0
CHN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
NEF
0 - 1
TYU
43%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ENE
2 - 1
NEF
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1996 |
ELI
1 - 2
NEF
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
NEF
0 - 0
SOK
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |