Zaria II vs Orhei Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaria II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
ZAR
32%
21%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 1
NIS
57%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 4
FCM
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DAV
1 - 3
ZAR
16%
18%
65%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Orhei Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
FLA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
NIS
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
DAV
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 0
COS
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 4
BOS
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -2 |