Zaramaga vs Nanclares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAR
20%
23%
56%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CDF
0 - 0
ZAR
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 1
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ALA
3 - 0
ZAR
58%
24%
19%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CDA
53%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nanclares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 2
AUR
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
NAN
59%
23%
18%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDL
1 - 1
NAN
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
5 - 2
ALE
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAN
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |