Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
79.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IRU
6 - 0
ZAR
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
AMU
8%
17%
76%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 0
ZAR
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CDS
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
IKE
5 - 0
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AMU
0 - 0
ARI
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 0
CDS
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 2
ARI
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 1
DAC
32%
22%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
ARI
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |