Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CFR
0 - 3
ZAR
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ELP
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
ZAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CDA
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ZAR
4 - 1
CON
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARI
2 - 0
CDS
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 1
ARI
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 1
SLV
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 1
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ELP
1 - 0
ARI
49%
24%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |