Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ZUI
1 - 1
ZAR
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CDS
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ZAR
3 - 2
TOR
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 3
ZAR
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LAU
11%
22%
67%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 1
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
4 - 1
ARI
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 0
LAU
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
IRU
0 - 1
ARI
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
ELG
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |