Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SLV
0 - 0
ZAR
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CLU
43%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ADC
2 - 3
ZAR
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 0
AUR
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ELP
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ARI
0 - 0
CDF
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LAK
2 - 1
ARI
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ARI
0 - 1
NAN
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 2
ARI
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARI
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |