Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 0
ZAR
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ADC
36%
25%
39%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 2
IRU
24%
24%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ELP
0 - 1
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALE
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 3
ELP
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 4
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 2
VUL
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SLV
1 - 0
ARI
55%
22%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ARI
3 - 1
TAL
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |