Zaramaga vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
IRU
2 - 0
ZAR
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ARA
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ZUI
0 - 2
ZAR
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ZAR
4 - 1
VUL
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ELP
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AMU
1 - 1
CDS
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 3
AMU
69%
19%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AMU
1 - 0
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CFR
0 - 4
AMU
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AMU
2 - 2
SDE
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |