Zaragoza 2014 vs San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 5
ZAR
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 2
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
ZAR
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 6
ZAR
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GAN
1 - 2
ZAR
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RAN
1 - 2
SFE
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SFE
2 - 2
UTE
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
5 - 0
SFE
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SFE
2 - 2
SDE
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |