Zaragoza 2014 vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FRA
3 - 0
ZAR
86%
11%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
ZAR
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
UDC
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
ZAR
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 0
PEN
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UDM
3 - 1
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UDM
4 - 0
ASJ
57%
22%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CFV
2 - 2
UDM
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 2
TAM
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SIE
4 - 0
UDM
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |