Zaragoza 2014 vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CFV
1 - 2
ZAR
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BIE
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ZAR
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 3
ZAR
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 0
UDM
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 0
CFV
61%
22%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BIE
0 - 0
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
UDM
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |