Zaragoza 2014 vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDC
2 - 1
ZAR
51%
24%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDC
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LAA
4 - 2
ZAR
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
GIN
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 0
ZAR
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
5 - 2
CDM
45%
24%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
GIN
37%
25%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 0
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
UDC
0 - 1
CDM
46%
26%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
LAA
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |