Zaragoza 2014 vs Biescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
ZAR
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 0
GAL
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 1
ZAR
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CFJ
66%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ZUE
2 - 1
ZAR
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Biescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BIE
0 - 2
CDA
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CFV
1 - 1
BIE
55%
23%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BIE
2 - 2
PEN
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BIE
3 - 1
CDA
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 0
BIE
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |