Zaragoza 2014 vs Alfindén A.D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 4
ZAR
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ZAR
5 - 0
SDE
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 2
ZAR
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HCJ
0 - 2
ZAR
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 1
VAL
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alfindén A.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 1
SDE
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HCJ
1 - 2
ALF
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
SJU
52%
22%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
SAN
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PER
0 - 2
ALF
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |