Zarafshon Panjakent vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarafshon Panjakent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 0
ZAP
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ZAP
1 - 10
IST
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CSK
5 - 0
ZAP
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ZAP
2 - 3
VAK
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
REG
12 - 0
ZAP
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUD
2 - 4
IST
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
IST
7 - 0
GUD
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
GUD
1 - 3
XAY
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAV
3 - 0
GUD
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 1
ENE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |