Zamora II vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
4 - 3
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 3
YAR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GVA
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZAM
4 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
URE
0 - 0
YAR
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
URE
3 - 2
TAC
16%
23%
60%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
URE
3 - 0
LOT
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 3
URE
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |