Zamora II vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAM
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
YAR
3 - 1
ZAM
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
ZAM
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
ZAM
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 0
YAR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
FAL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 2
POL
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |