Zamora II vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
0 - 3
ZAM
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CDS
61%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
ZAM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GVA
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
URE
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
37%
25%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
ARR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
FAL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
4 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |