Zamora II vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
PDB
1 - 2
ZAM
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
FRO
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TIT
3 - 1
ZAM
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ATL
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
PDB
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
TIT
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
POL
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
POR
5 - 0
POL
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |