Zamora II vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARR
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 1
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ULA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 1
ZAM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
LOT
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
URE
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
ARR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |