Zamora FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
14º
12º
45
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
ZAM
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 1
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZAM
2 - 1
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CFC
4 - 0
ZAM
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
APC
0 - 0
CAR
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |