Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 2
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 1
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ZUL
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 0
ZAM
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
ZUL
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZUL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 2
ANZ
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ARA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |