Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 0
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 3
MWA
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LLA
5 - 0
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 0
ZAM
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ARA
25%
29%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
ARA
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |