Zamora FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 2
ZAM
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
ZAM
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TRU
62%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 2
MIR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIR
28%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
ARA
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
MIR
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 4
ZUL
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |