Zambia U20 vs Sudáfrica U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 1
EGY
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
6 - 1
MLI
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GUI
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MWI
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
ZIM
1 - 5
ZAM
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sudáfrica U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
RSA
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 4
SEN
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 3
RSA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
RSA
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 0
SWZ
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |